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Contact with us if you are searching for top quality Essay solution in affordable price. Order Now Live Chat Support. Get Your Discount Now! Check It Out Now. Craig W 7, 3 36 What a great question. This has always bothered me as well.
So does this make any sense? If you believe in the strong efficient market hypothesis, it makes no sense whatsoever, because this hypothesis holds that there is never an exploitable discrepancy between what a stock should trade for and what it actually trades for. It still makes no sense if you believe in the weak efficient market hypothesis paired with the assumption that Wall Street is pretty random. You load up on their stock, and then one of their platforms explodes.
You get rid of their stock or even sell short. Risks of these types can be mitigated by diversification, because then on average the unexpected good news and unexpected bad news should cancel.
Even if you believe that there are information deficiencies that are exploitable, it would still not make sense for the average guy. Do you think that your judgment trumps that of the big players? Due to some criticism, I want to expand on a few points.
In principle, a stock has a price it should trade for, and the price it currently trades for might be far from that. Participants in the stock market can and do behave irrationally, which then leads to bubbles and other phenomena. Again, the problem is that nobody can tell a bubble from a legitimate, genuine rise in valuation: On the other hand, some commodities did see a bubble-like rise but stayed on that high level for an extended period of time.
Strongest evidence for this claim is that the big pension funds, who manage billions of dollars, rely more and more on passive index funds instead of active management: Due to statistics, during any given time someone will beat the market, but you can be relatively sure that in the next cycle that someone will be someone else. For example, the top funds managers of the year will be quite different from the top funds managers of the year The admonition to do your homework can be an easy cop-out for people giving you poor investment advice: So, is homework completely for naught?
Different asset classes stocks, bonds, real estate, cash have different expected returns, different tax implications and, in general, different properties. Educate yourself on those differences For your particular situation in life, a particular mix of assets makes the most sense, so do your homework on asset allocation. Lagerbaer 6 Participants are irrational to some extent. In a fast flowing river, the individual water molecule behaves relatively unpredictable, but the overall aggregate time-averaged movement is downriver.
I should add that this debate is fiercely fought between academics and thus is unlikely to be settled by us two guys posting on a stackexchange website: I will tell you, it is the herd mentalities of greed and fear!
Victor "Then how do you explain booms, bubbles and busts??? JohnBensin - I am just pointing out some statements which make no sense. Comparing market participants to molecules in a river.
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